Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
What have the invention of the wheel,Pompeii,the Wall Street Crash,Harry Potter and the internet got in common Why are all forecasters con-artists What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives,from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
Publisher: Penguin Books LtdISBN: 9780141034591Number of pages: 480Weight: 348 gDimensions: 198 x 129 x 26 mm
MEDIA REVIEWS
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide...I came to relish what he said,and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'- Will Self,Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind'Boyd Tonkin,Independent
'Funny,quirky and thought-provoking...confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst,George Soros and aspirant despot'- John Cornwell,Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant'- Niall Ferguson,Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun...brash,stubborn,entertaining,opinionated,curious,cajoling'Stephen J. Dubner,Co-Author of Freakonomics'Great fun...brash,stubborn,entertaining,opinionated,curious,cajoling'- Freakonomics'An idiosyncratically brilliant new book'- Sunday Telegraph'A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected'- Guardian'Like the conversation of a raconteur...hugely enjoyable - compelling'- Financial Times'Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst,George Soros and aspirant despot'- Sunday Times'In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point'- Time
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